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IPC released the May 2023 results of its North American Electronics Manufacturing Services (EMS) Statistical Program. The book-to-bill ratio is 1.24. In May 2023, the total shipments of North American EMS increased by 7.1 percent compared to the corresponding month in the previous year. However, there was a 5.2 percent decrease in shipments compared to the preceding month.
On a yearly basis, EMS bookings in May went up by 0.8 percent, and they increased by 4.4 percent compared to the previous month. “This month we saw a small reversal in the trend we have been seeing this year,” said Shawn DuBravac, IPC’s chief economist. “New orders rose on a year-over-year basis for the first time since October 2022. Shipments fell slightly compared to last month but continue to show a positive trend.”
Detailed Data Available
Companies that participate in IPC’s North American EMS Statistical Program have access to detailed findings on EMS sales growth by type of production and company size tier, order growth and backlogs by company size tier, vertical market growth, the EMS book-to-bill ratio, 3-month and 12-month sales outlooks, and other timely data.
Interpreting the Data
The book-to-bill ratios are calculated by dividing the value of orders booked over the past three months by the value of sales billed during the same period from companies in IPC’s survey sample. A ratio of more than 1.00 suggests that current demand is ahead of supply, which is a positive indicator for sales growth over the next three to twelve months. A ratio of less than 1.00 indicates the reverse.
Year-on-year and year-to-date growth rates provide the most meaningful view of industry growth. Month-to-month comparisons should be made with caution as they reflect seasonal effects and short-term volatility. Because bookings tend to be more volatile than shipments, changes in the book-to-bill ratios from month to month might not be significant unless a trend of more than three consecutive months is apparent. It is also important to consider changes in both bookings and shipments to understand what is driving changes in the book-to-bill ratio.
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